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Financial modeling

Skill mfwarren/entrepreneur-claude-skills/skills/finance/financial-modeling

Production-ready entrepreneurship skills for Claude Code — marketing, sales, operations, finance, and leadership. 24 skills built by a founder, for founders.

Install
npx -y skills add mfwarren/entrepreneur-claude-skills --skill financial-modeling

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SKILL.md

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Financial Modeling

Revenue forecasts, expense modeling, cash flow projections, and scenario analysis.

Purpose

Build financial models that help founders make decisions — not impress investors with hockey sticks. Focus on the assumptions that matter and the scenarios that could kill the business.

Workflow

Step 1: Gather Context

  • Business model and revenue streams
  • Current monthly revenue and expenses (or estimates)
  • Growth assumptions and drivers
  • Planned hires or major expenses
  • Funding status and runway needs

Step 2: Revenue Model

Build bottom-up from drivers:

  • Customers x ARPU = Revenue (SaaS)
  • Traffic x Conversion Rate x AOV = Revenue (e-commerce)
  • Clients x Project Value x Utilization = Revenue (services)
  • Units x Price = Revenue (CPG/product)

Monthly projections for 12-24 months.

Step 3: Expense Model

Categorize:

  • Fixed costs (rent, salaries, SaaS tools)
  • Variable costs (COGS, commissions, shipping)
  • Growth investments (marketing spend, new hires)

Step 4: Cash Flow

  • Revenue - Expenses = Net burn/profit
  • Cash balance projection
  • Runway calculation: Cash / Monthly Burn = Months of runway

Step 5: Scenario Analysis

Three scenarios:

  • Base case: Realistic assumptions
  • Upside case: Things go well (what changes)
  • Downside case: Things go badly (what breaks)

For each: when do you run out of cash? When do you break even?

Step 6: Key Metrics Dashboard

  • Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR)
  • Burn rate
  • Runway
  • Gross margin
  • Growth rate (MoM)

Output Format

## Financial Model: [Business Name]

### Revenue Projections (12 months)
| Month | Revenue | Expenses | Net | Cash Balance |
|-------|---------|----------|-----|-------------|

### Key Assumptions
[Listed and explained]

### Scenario Analysis
| Scenario | Break-even | Runway | Key Risk |
|----------|-----------|--------|----------|

### Dashboard Metrics
[Current key metrics]

Constraints

  • Always label assumptions explicitly — the model is only as good as its inputs
  • Don't project beyond what's reasonable for the business stage
  • Flag when the user's growth assumptions are unrealistic
  • Note that this is a planning tool, not a guarantee
  • Cash flow matters more than P&L for startups — always include it

Keep looking

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