Strategy selection
Skill mahmoud20138/Tradecraft/plugins/tradecraft/skills/strategy-selection
102 Claude Code skills across 7 categories -- trading strategies, Azure, VSCode extensions, AI prompts, and custom automation skills
npx -y skills add mahmoud20138/Tradecraft --skill strategy-selectionAssembled from the repository path, not quoted from the project. Check it against their README if it does not work.
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Meta-skill for selecting the optimal trading strategy based on current market conditions, session timing, volatility regime, and asset class. Routes to the correct strategy skill. USE FOR: which strategy to use, what setup for this market, strategy for current conditions, best approach right now, market regime detection, should I scalp or swing, trending or ranging.
SKILL.md
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Skill: Strategy Selection | Domain: trading | Category: meta-intelligence | Level: intermediate Tags:
trading,strategy,meta,regime,session
Strategy Selection Framework
Step 1: Identify Market Regime
TRENDING (Unbalanced):
→ Price making HH/HL (bull) or LH/LL (bear)
→ ADR > 80% of 20-day average
→ Clear displacement candles visible on 1H+
→ Volume profile: THIN shape (strong directional flow)
→ Best strategies: ICT MSS+FVG, Market Maker Models, Displacement Trap Entry
RANGING (Balanced):
→ Price oscillating between defined H/L
→ ADR < 60% of 20-day average
→ Volume profile: D-SHAPE (heavy middle, light edges)
→ Best strategies: Mean Reversion, S&D Zone Fades, Asian Range Fade
TRANSITIONING:
→ After extended trend, first signs of exhaustion
→ Volume profile: P-SHAPE (top-heavy) or B-SHAPE (bottom-heavy)
→ Best strategies: Liquidity Trap, Breaker Block entries, counter-trend CRT
Step 2: Match Session to Strategy
| Session | Best Strategies | Skill File |
|---|---|---|
| Asia (00:00-07:00 UTC) | Asian Range Fade, range identification | session-scalping.md |
| London (07:00-12:00 UTC) | Judas Swing, London breakout, ORB | session-scalping.md |
| NY (13:30-17:00 UTC) | Silver Bullet, ICT 2022, Flip+Sweep | ict-smart-money.md |
| NY afternoon (17:00-20:00 UTC) | Mean Reversion, Session Sweep | session-scalping.md |
| Overlap (13:30-16:00 UTC) | Highest volatility — all trend strategies valid | ict-smart-money.md |
Step 3: Match Asset to Approach
| Asset Class | Primary Strategy | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Forex majors | ICT/SMC, dual-TF auction | Best during their session killzone |
| Gold (XAUUSDm) | Order Flow + ICT, Silver Bullet | NY session only, high volatility |
| Indices (US30/NAS/SPX) | ORB, Session Sweep, VWAP | NY open, first hour |
| Crypto (BTC/ETH) | All sessions, trend-following | 24/7 but best during NY overlap |
| Stock CFDs | Dual-TF auction, S&D zones | NY session 13:30-20:00 UTC only |
Step 4: Confluence Check
Before entering ANY trade, verify:
□ Market regime identified (trending/ranging/transitioning)
□ Correct session for this strategy
□ Asset matches approach
□ HTF bias established
□ At least 2 confluences present (FVG + OB, S&D + VP, etc.)
□ Risk ≤ 1% | RR ≥ 2:1
Score < 4 confluences → SKIP
Score 4-6 → half size
Score 7+ → full size
Decision Tree
Is market TRENDING?
├── YES → Is it YOUR session killzone?
│ ├── YES → Use ICT/SMC trend strategies (MSS+FVG, Silver Bullet, Displacement Trap)
│ └── NO → Wait for your killzone or use session-transition strategies
└── NO → Is market RANGING?
├── YES → Use mean-reversion strategies (S&D fade, Asian range, VWAP reversion)
└── TRANSITIONING → Use reversal strategies (Liquidity Trap, CRT, Breaker Block)
Related Skills
Universal Trading Rules (All Strategies)
- Never risk more than 1–2% of account per trade
- Always define stop loss BEFORE entry
- Trade with the higher-timeframe trend when possible
- Volume confirms breakouts — low-volume moves are suspect
- Avoid trading into major news events unless that IS the strategy
- Journal every trade — strategy, entry reason, result, lesson
- Cut losses quickly; let winners run — do not move stops against position
- Review strategy performance monthly — edge can decay
- Check market regime first — wrong strategy in wrong regime = losses
Strategy Evaluation Criteria
- Expectancy = (Win Rate × Avg Win) − (Loss Rate × Avg Loss) — must be positive
- Sharpe Ratio > 1.0 acceptable; > 2.0 excellent
- Max Drawdown < 20% for most retail strategies
- Sample Size minimum 100 trades for statistical significance
- Robustness — test on out-of-sample data (walk-forward or holdout)
- Correlation — avoid strategies that fail at the same time
Quick Strategy Match by Condition
| Market Condition | Best Strategy | Avoid |
|---|---|---|
| Strong uptrend, ADX > 25 | Trend Following, Momentum | Mean Reversion |
| Downtrend, ADX > 25 | Trend Following (short) | Mean Reversion |
| Ranging, ADX < 20 | Mean Reversion, Grid | Trend Following |
| Volatility compression | Breakout (anticipate expansion) | Momentum |
| High volatility expansion | Momentum, Breakout continuation | Counter-trend |
| End of trend / divergence | PA Reversal, Mean Reversion | Trend Following |
| News catalyst | Event-Driven, Gap | Range mean reversion |
Gives 0 of the 12 instructions most roadmap strategy skills give
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Said here and by no other author read
- Identify market regime before strategy selection
- Match active trading session to strategy
- Match asset class to approach
- Establish higher timeframe bias before entry
- Confirm at least two confluences before entering
- Position size based on confluence score
Grouped from the skills themselves: near-identical wordings counted once, and counted by distinct author, so one author publishing three of these counts once.