Strategy selection

Skill mahmoud20138/Tradecraft/plugins/tradecraft/skills/strategy-selection

Meta-skill for selecting the optimal trading strategy based on current market conditions, session timing, volatility regime, and asset class. Routes to the correct strategy skill. USE FOR: which strategy to use, what setup for this market, strategy for current conditions, best approach right now, market regime detection, should I scalp or swing, trending or ranging.From its SKILL.md

Install

npx -y skills add mahmoud20138/Tradecraft --skill strategy-selection

Assembled from the repository path, not quoted from the project. Check it against their README if it does not work.

One thing to look at

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SKILL.md

5.5 KB, ~1.3k tokens by cl100k_base, as published. Nobody here has run it

Skill: Strategy Selection | Domain: trading | Category: meta-intelligence | Level: intermediate Tags: trading, strategy, meta, regime, session

Strategy Selection Framework

Step 1: Identify Market Regime

TRENDING (Unbalanced):
  → Price making HH/HL (bull) or LH/LL (bear)
  → ADR > 80% of 20-day average
  → Clear displacement candles visible on 1H+
  → Volume profile: THIN shape (strong directional flow)
  → Best strategies: ICT MSS+FVG, Market Maker Models, Displacement Trap Entry

RANGING (Balanced):
  → Price oscillating between defined H/L
  → ADR < 60% of 20-day average
  → Volume profile: D-SHAPE (heavy middle, light edges)
  → Best strategies: Mean Reversion, S&D Zone Fades, Asian Range Fade

TRANSITIONING:
  → After extended trend, first signs of exhaustion
  → Volume profile: P-SHAPE (top-heavy) or B-SHAPE (bottom-heavy)
  → Best strategies: Liquidity Trap, Breaker Block entries, counter-trend CRT

Step 2: Match Session to Strategy

Session	Best Strategies	Skill File
Asia (00:00-07:00 UTC)	Asian Range Fade, range identification	session-scalping.md
London (07:00-12:00 UTC)	Judas Swing, London breakout, ORB	session-scalping.md
NY (13:30-17:00 UTC)	Silver Bullet, ICT 2022, Flip+Sweep	ict-smart-money.md
NY afternoon (17:00-20:00 UTC)	Mean Reversion, Session Sweep	session-scalping.md
Overlap (13:30-16:00 UTC)	Highest volatility — all trend strategies valid	ict-smart-money.md

Step 3: Match Asset to Approach

Asset Class	Primary Strategy	Notes
Forex majors	ICT/SMC, dual-TF auction	Best during their session killzone
Gold (XAUUSDm)	Order Flow + ICT, Silver Bullet	NY session only, high volatility
Indices (US30/NAS/SPX)	ORB, Session Sweep, VWAP	NY open, first hour
Crypto (BTC/ETH)	All sessions, trend-following	24/7 but best during NY overlap
Stock CFDs	Dual-TF auction, S&D zones	NY session 13:30-20:00 UTC only

Step 4: Confluence Check

Before entering ANY trade, verify:
□ Market regime identified (trending/ranging/transitioning)
□ Correct session for this strategy
□ Asset matches approach
□ HTF bias established
□ At least 2 confluences present (FVG + OB, S&D + VP, etc.)
□ Risk ≤ 1% | RR ≥ 2:1

Score < 4 confluences → SKIP
Score 4-6 → half size
Score 7+ → full size

Decision Tree

Is market TRENDING?
├── YES → Is it YOUR session killzone?
│   ├── YES → Use ICT/SMC trend strategies (MSS+FVG, Silver Bullet, Displacement Trap)
│   └── NO → Wait for your killzone or use session-transition strategies
└── NO → Is market RANGING?
    ├── YES → Use mean-reversion strategies (S&D fade, Asian range, VWAP reversion)
    └── TRANSITIONING → Use reversal strategies (Liquidity Trap, CRT, Breaker Block)

Related Skills

Universal Trading Rules (All Strategies)

Never risk more than 1–2% of account per trade
Always define stop loss BEFORE entry
Trade with the higher-timeframe trend when possible
Volume confirms breakouts — low-volume moves are suspect
Avoid trading into major news events unless that IS the strategy
Journal every trade — strategy, entry reason, result, lesson
Cut losses quickly; let winners run — do not move stops against position
Review strategy performance monthly — edge can decay
Check market regime first — wrong strategy in wrong regime = losses

Strategy Evaluation Criteria

Expectancy = (Win Rate × Avg Win) − (Loss Rate × Avg Loss) — must be positive
Sharpe Ratio > 1.0 acceptable; > 2.0 excellent
Max Drawdown < 20% for most retail strategies
Sample Size minimum 100 trades for statistical significance
Robustness — test on out-of-sample data (walk-forward or holdout)
Correlation — avoid strategies that fail at the same time

Quick Strategy Match by Condition

Market Condition	Best Strategy	Avoid
Strong uptrend, ADX > 25	Trend Following, Momentum	Mean Reversion
Downtrend, ADX > 25	Trend Following (short)	Mean Reversion
Ranging, ADX < 20	Mean Reversion, Grid	Trend Following
Volatility compression	Breakout (anticipate expansion)	Momentum
High volatility expansion	Momentum, Breakout continuation	Counter-trend
End of trend / divergence	PA Reversal, Mean Reversion	Trend Following
News catalyst	Event-Driven, Gap	Range mean reversion

What ships with it

Read from the repository

Just SKILL.md. No reference files, no scripts.