Analyze gold

Analyze Gold — Combination Command

Pre-configured wrapper around pair-analyze for XAUUSD with gold-specific calibration. Pick this when the user says "analyze gold" or "gold setup" so defaults match how gold actually trades.

Invocation

/tradecraft:analyze-gold [TIMEFRAME] [MODE]

# Examples
/tradecraft:analyze-gold              # defaults: H1, standard
/tradecraft:analyze-gold H4 conservative
/tradecraft:analyze-gold M15 scalp
/tradecraft:analyze-gold D1 swing

Arguments are exposed via $ARGUMENTS. Symbol is locked to XAUUSD.

What This Wrapper Does

1. Binds symbol = XAUUSD (also accepts broker variants: XAUUSDm, GOLD, XAU/USD — normalize before dispatch).
2. Applies gold-specific overrides (see below).
3. Delegates to the pair-analyze pipeline.
4. Returns the same JSON output contract as pair-analyze, plus a gold_context block.

Gold-Specific Calibration

Aspect	Override vs. generic pair-analyze
Pip / point	0.01 USD per unit — price quoted to 2 decimals
Typical spread	0.15 – 0.40 on ECN; 0.25 – 0.60 on standard
Active sessions	London open → US close (08:00 – 21:00 UTC)
Dead zone	Asian session outside the Tokyo/London overlap (~06:00 – 09:00 UTC)
Volatility reference	H1 ATR(14) typically 3–12 pts; >20 = elevated
SL minimum	Max(structure-based, 1.0 × H1 ATR, 2.5 pts) — gold wicks hunt tight stops
High-impact drivers	FOMC, NFP, CPI, PPI, DXY moves, real yields, geopolitical risk
News gate buffer	30 min before / 60 min after red-folder USD events
Correlation to monitor	DXY (inverse), US10Y real yield (inverse), SPX (weak positive in risk-on)

Mode Defaults Adjusted for Gold

Mode	Per-trade risk	Min R:R	Notes
conservative	0.5%	3.0	H4/D1 only; avoid during NY lunch
standard	1.0%	2.0	H1/H4; skip the first 15 min after London open
aggressive	1.5%	1.5	H1 only; never during CPI/FOMC week
scalp	0.5%	1.5	M5/M15; London and NY overlap only
swing	1.0%	3.0	H4/D1; align with weekly bias

Worked Example: XAUUSD H1 standard

Assume current price = 2345.00, London session, no red news next 2h.

1. Regime — H4 trend-up (HH/HL intact), H1 pullback into demand.
2. News gate — clear until US PMI at 15:00 UTC.
3. Structure — H1 bullish order block 2340–2343, BOS at 2348 confirms bullish intent.
4. Liquidity — equal lows at 2341 swept during Asian session (1-candle wick); next upside pool 2365.
5. Entry refinement — 50% of OB → entry 2341.50; rejection candle required.
6. Risk — SL 2338.00 (3.5 pts, above 1×ATR minimum); $10k account × 1% = $100; lots = 0.28.
7. Plan — long 2341.50, SL 2338.00, TP1 2348.50 (2R), TP2 2355.00 (3.8R), grade B, confidence 0.68.

{
  "symbol": "XAUUSD",
  "timeframe": "H1",
  "mode": "standard",
  "regime": "trend-up-h4-pullback-h1",
  "bias": "long",
  "setup_grade": "B",
  "confluence": ["H4 trend-up", "H1 bullish order block", "Asian sweep of equal lows"],
  "entry": 2341.50,
  "stop_loss": 2338.00,
  "take_profit_1": 2348.50,
  "take_profit_2": 2355.00,
  "risk_reward": 2.0,
  "position_size": {"lots": 0.28, "risk_pct": 1.0, "usd_per_point_per_lot": 100.0},
  "invalidation": "H1 close below 2338.00",
  "news_gate": {"clear_until": "15:00 UTC", "next_event": "US PMI"},
  "gold_context": {
    "atr_h1": 8.5,
    "dxy_bias": "weakening",
    "session": "London",
    "spread": 0.25
  },
  "confidence": 0.68,
  "notes": "Long at 50% retrace of H1 OB after liquidity sweep; exit TP1 before US PMI"
}

Skip Conditions (gold-specific)

Do NOT emit a trade plan when:

• DXY is breaking a major level in the same direction as a gold short/long signal (decorrelation risk)
• Within 30 min before or 60 min after CPI, NFP, FOMC, or Fed Chair testimony
• Spread > 1.0 at the candidate entry time (suggests thin liquidity — common during rollover 22:00 UTC)
• H1 ATR > 20 (regime = high-vol; switch to larger SL or stand aside)

Validation Checklist

• Symbol normalized to XAUUSD
• SL ≥ max(structure, 1×ATR, 2.5 pts)
• News gate checked for USD red-folder events
• DXY correlation not opposing the signal
• Session is London or NY (or London-NY overlap for scalp)

See Also

• pair-analyze — the underlying generic combination
• analyze-us30 — sister wrapper for the Dow index
• gold-orb-ea — opening-range breakout strategy specific to gold
• xtrading-analyze — full multi-agent scan (broader scope than this wrapper)