Analyze us30

Analyze US30 — Combination Command

Pre-configured wrapper around pair-analyze for US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average CFD) with index-specific calibration. Pick this when the user says "analyze US30" or "Dow setup" so defaults match how the index actually trades.

Invocation

/tradecraft:analyze-us30 [TIMEFRAME] [MODE]

# Examples
/tradecraft:analyze-us30              # defaults: H1, standard
/tradecraft:analyze-us30 H4 conservative
/tradecraft:analyze-us30 M15 scalp
/tradecraft:analyze-us30 D1 swing

Arguments are exposed via $ARGUMENTS. Symbol is locked to US30.

What This Wrapper Does

1. Binds symbol = US30 (also accepts broker variants: US30.cash, DJ30, YM, DOW — normalize before dispatch).
2. Applies US30-specific overrides (see below).
3. Delegates to the pair-analyze pipeline.
4. Returns the same JSON output contract as pair-analyze, plus a us30_context block.

US30-Specific Calibration

Aspect	Override vs. generic pair-analyze
Pip / point	1.0 USD per unit — price quoted to 1 decimal
Typical spread	1.0 – 3.0 during cash session; 4.0 – 10.0 overnight
Active sessions	US pre-market and cash session (12:00 – 21:00 UTC)
Dead zone	Asian session — wide spreads, low volume, gap risk
Volatility reference	H1 ATR(14) typically 60–160 pts; >250 = elevated
SL minimum	Max(structure-based, 0.8 × H1 ATR, 40 pts)
High-impact drivers	FOMC, CPI, NFP, ISM, mega-cap earnings (AAPL/MSFT/GS/UNH), yields
News gate buffer	15 min before / 45 min after red-folder USD events
Correlation to monitor	SPX (high positive), VIX (inverse), USTs (context), DXY (weak inverse)
Gap behavior	Weekend and overnight gaps are common — open positions past cash close at risk

Mode Defaults Adjusted for US30

Mode	Per-trade risk	Min R:R	Notes
conservative	0.5%	3.0	H4/D1 only; avoid FOMC week and earnings peaks
standard	1.0%	2.0	H1/H4; cash session only
aggressive	1.5%	1.5	H1/M15; first 90 min of US open, or post-FOMC trend
scalp	0.5%	1.5	M5/M15; cash session only — never overnight
swing	1.0%	3.0	H4/D1; align with SPX and breadth trend

Worked Example: US30 H4 conservative

Assume current price = 42180, D1 uptrend, H4 consolidation, FOMC minutes in ~18h.

1. Regime — D1 trend-up, H4 range-in-trend (42060 – 42230).
2. News gate — clear for an H4 setup; flag FOMC minutes for position management.
3. Structure — H4 CHoCH rejected at range top; bearish order block 42150 – 42220.
4. Liquidity — equal highs at 42200 untouched → likely sweep target, not entry.
5. Entry refinement — short 42180 after liquidity sweep of 42200 with M15 rejection.
6. Risk — SL 42250 (70 pts, above ATR and equal-highs sweep); $10k × 0.5% = $50. Using the common US30 CFD spec of $1 per index-point per 1.0 lot: lots = $50 / (70 × $1) = 0.71. If your broker uses a $10-per-point spec, the same risk gives 0.07 lots — verify from your broker's symbol info before sizing.
7. Plan — short 42180, SL 42250, TP1 41960 (3.1R, range bottom + buffer), grade A, confidence 0.74.

{
  "symbol": "US30",
  "timeframe": "H4",
  "mode": "conservative",
  "regime": "trend-up-h4-range",
  "bias": "short",
  "setup_grade": "A",
  "confluence": ["H4 CHoCH", "bearish order block", "equal-highs sweep", "SPX neutral"],
  "entry": 42180.0,
  "stop_loss": 42250.0,
  "take_profit_1": 41960.0,
  "risk_reward": 3.1,
  "position_size": {"lots": 0.71, "risk_pct": 0.5, "usd_per_point_per_lot": 1.0},
  "invalidation": "H4 close above 42250",
  "news_gate": {"clear_until": "19:00 UTC next day", "next_event": "FOMC Minutes"},
  "us30_context": {
    "atr_h4": 180.0,
    "spx_bias": "neutral",
    "vix": 14.8,
    "session": "NY afternoon",
    "spread": 1.5
  },
  "confidence": 0.74,
  "notes": "Short on sweep-and-reject of equal highs; manage into FOMC minutes next day"
}

Skip Conditions (US30-specific)

Do NOT emit a trade plan when:

• Outside US cash session and mode is not swing (overnight spreads + gap risk)
• Within 15 min before or 45 min after CPI, NFP, FOMC, ISM, or a Dow-30 mega-cap earnings print
• VIX > 28 AND mode is not swing (regime = panic, intraday mean reversion is unreliable)
• SPX breaking major level in the opposite direction (breadth divergence)
• Spread > 5.0 at entry time

Validation Checklist

• Symbol normalized to US30
• SL ≥ max(structure, 0.8×ATR, 40 pts)
• News gate checked for USD red-folder events AND DJIA earnings
• SPX correlation not opposing the signal
• Current session is US cash (or swing mode with explicit overnight plan)

Position Management Notes

US30 gaps weekends and frequently gaps overnight on earnings. If a trade must be held past cash close:

• Reduce size by 50%
• Move SL to breakeven only if structure supports it (do not tighten mechanically)
• Log the gap risk in the trade journal (see trading-fundamentals journaling section)

See Also

• pair-analyze — the underlying generic combination
• analyze-gold — sister wrapper for XAUUSD
• market-breadth-analyzer — use alongside for SPX / sector internals
• xtrading-analyze — full multi-agent scan (broader scope than this wrapper)