Crux diagnosis
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Identify the pivotal obstacle between current state and desired future. Use when developing strategy.
SKILL.md
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Strategic Crux Diagnosis
Identify the pivotal obstacle between current state and desired future.
When to Use
When developing strategy or facing complex strategic decisions.
The Concept
Crux: The smallest set of obstacles that, if solved, makes everything else tractable or unnecessary.
Required Inputs
Gather before analysis:
- Current state (baseline metrics, capabilities)
- Desired future (time-bound outcome, targets)
- Constraints (budget, headcount, tech, compliance)
- Available assets (data, channels, IP, partnerships)
- Key risks and non-negotiables
The Process
1. Map Current to Future
Create a causal graph:
- Start: Current state
- End: Desired future
- List all blockers in between
2. Score Each Blocker
Evaluate on:
- Causal centrality: How much else depends on this?
- Bottleneck severity: How much does it slow everything?
- Solvability: Can we actually fix it?
- Leverage potential: If solved, how much unlocks?
- Time to impact: How fast could we see results?
- Evidence strength: How sure are we this is the problem?
3. Identify the Crux
Find the blocker(s) where:
- Solving it unlocks the most downstream progress
- It's actually solvable given constraints
- Time to impact is acceptable
4. Generate Strategic Options
Create 4-7 options aimed at the crux:
- Include at least one non-obvious approach
- Include at least one constraint-relaxation option
- Evaluate against decision criteria
Output
- Executive summary (situation, crux, approach)
- Evidence pack (facts, assumptions, uncertainties)
- Crux definition with scoring
- Options comparison table
- Chosen strategy with rationale
- Strategic moves (3-5) with owners and timelines
When Not to Use
Do not use this skill when the request is unrelated, low-stakes, or better handled by a simpler direct response.