Aerj data analysis

Data Analysis (aerj-data-analysis)

AERJ analyses must be warranted (adequate evidence for the claim) and transparent (explicit logic of inquiry), per the AERA reporting standards. Whatever the method, report enough that a reader can judge — and a replicator could reproduce — the result.

When to trigger

• Specifying the analytic strategy or writing the results section
• A reviewer questioned model specification, uncertainty, or coding rigor
• Reporting effect sizes, fit, robustness, or qualitative warrant
• Reconciling quantitative and qualitative results in a mixed-methods paper

Quantitative analysis norms

• Respect nesting. Multilevel/HLM (or cluster-robust) inference for students-in-schools data; report ICC, level-specific predictors, and random effects. Center predictors deliberately (group- vs grand-mean) and say which.
• Report effect sizes and uncertainty, not just p-values: standardized effects, confidence intervals, and practical significance for education stakes.
• Measurement. Report reliability and validity evidence; for scales, factor/IRT results; handle measurement error rather than ignoring it.
• Missing data. State the mechanism assumption and method (multiple imputation / FIML), not listwise-by-default. Report attrition for longitudinal/experimental data.
• Multiplicity. Adjust or pre-specify when testing many outcomes/subgroups.
• Large-scale assessment data. Use plausible values and replicate/survey weights correctly.
• Robustness. Show the result survives reasonable alternative specifications.

Qualitative analysis norms

• Make the analytic process explicit: how codes/themes were developed, who coded, how disagreements were resolved, and how interpretations were warranted by data.
• Evidence the claims: quotations/excerpts tied to themes; negative cases acknowledged; saturation or sufficiency addressed where relevant.
• Reflexivity: how the researcher's position shaped generation and interpretation.

Mixed-methods integration

• Report how the strands were integrated (joint displays, meta-inferences) and what the integration revealed that neither strand alone could. Do not report two disconnected analyses.

Execution bridge (StatsPAI / Stata MCP)

Run the battery, don't just enumerate it. Full map: execution-with-mcp. AERJ is empirical education research — field experiments and observational school data; multilevel inference and many-outcome corrections are central.

• Many outcomes / specifications: romano_wolf (step-down FWER) or benjamini_hochberg — report the adjusted threshold.
• OVB sensitivity: oster_delta / sensemakr.
• Inference: wild_cluster_bootstrap (few clusters), twoway_cluster / conley; multilevel data → cluster at the right level.
• Re-fit off one handle: audit_result(result_id) lists the missing checks and the exact suggest_function for each.
• Exhibits: etable / did_summary_to_latex from the handle — no retyped numbers.

Keep the decisive checks in the body and the exhaustive battery in the supplement. See the executed chain in the JF execution walkthrough.

Anti-patterns

• OLS/single-level models on clustered data; ignoring ICC
• p-values with no effect sizes, CIs, or practical interpretation
• Listwise deletion treated as harmless; unreported attrition
• "Themes emerged" with no account of how, by whom, or with what reliability
• A mixed-methods results section that never integrates

Warrant-and-transparency checklist by method (AERJ referees)

The AERA reporting standards apply to every tradition AERJ publishes, but referees probe different things by design and evidentiary tradition. Audit your results section against the row that matches your design.

Design	What must be reported for warrant	What transparency requires made explicit
Multilevel / growth	ICC, level-specific estimates, random effects, centering choice	Why each level enters; how missingness handled
IRT / measurement	Reliability, dimensionality, item/factor evidence	How measurement error was modeled, not ignored
Quasi-experimental	Identifying assumption, pre-trend or balance, sensitivity	Estimand defined; alternative specs shown
Qualitative	Coding process, who coded, exemplar evidence, negative cases	Reflexivity; how interpretations were warranted
Mixed	Both strands plus the integration result	What integration revealed that neither alone could

Worked analysis vignette (illustrative)

An AERJ quasi-experimental evaluation of a ninth-grade early-warning system uses a difference-in-differences design across 25 districts. Warranted reporting states the estimand (effect on on-track-to-graduate rates), shows the parallel pre-trend, reports an illustrative +4.1 percentage points (95% CI [1.2, 7.0]) with district-clustered SEs, and adds a sensitivity check that survives dropping the two largest districts. The transparency layer names the missing-data mechanism (FIML under MAR) and the attrition rate (illustrative 6%). A weak version would report a single coefficient with a star, no pre-trend, and listwise deletion — the AERA standard for adequate evidence is not met.

Referee pushback and the AERA-standard fix

• "You ran OLS on clustered data." → Refit with multilevel or cluster-robust inference; report ICC.
• "P-values with no practical meaning." → Add standardized effect sizes and CIs interpreted against education stakes.
• "'Themes emerged' tells me nothing." → Document how codes/themes were developed, by whom, with what reliability, and acknowledge negative cases.
• "The mixed strands never meet." → Add a joint display and a meta-inference; confirm any reporting detail against the journal's current submission guidelines.

Output format

【Method】multilevel / IRT-measurement / quasi-exp / qualitative / mixed
【Specification】model or coding scheme + key choices (centering, levels, coders)
【Uncertainty / warrant】effect sizes + CIs (quant) or evidence + reflexivity (qual)
【Missing data / trustworthiness】approach stated
【Robustness】alternative specs / negative cases
【Next】aerj-tables-figures

Supplementary resources

• ../../resources/external_tools.md — R / Stata / Mplus / HLM and CAQDAS by method
• ../../resources/official-source-map.md — AERA reporting standards (warrant + transparency)