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Vibes to verified

Skill voltrace-io/vibes-to-verified

Use when AI-generated work, agent conclusions, code, research, creative output, automation, or consequential decisions must move from plausible output to scoped, falsifiable, independently challenged, operationally evidenced results. Starts with a four-gate audit anyone can run on any agent — source, test, break it, real — then escalates to the full V2V Scale, adversarial portfolio search, atomic claims, refutation rounds, and evidence-card reporting without assuming the desired answer exists.From its SKILL.md

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Vibes to Verified

Overview

Vibes to Verified is a portable verification workflow for AI-assisted work. It preserves the speed of vibe coding while matching authority to evidence.

The problem is not starting with a vibe. The problem is granting production authority to output that never moved beyond one.

The workflow separates two questions:

  1. Verdict: What does the evidence currently suggest?
  2. V2V level: How mature is that evidence?

A confident answer can be GREEN / V0. A rigorously reproduced failure can be RED / V4. Never collapse those axes.

Keep the speed. Add the proof.

Why Everyone Needs This

Every person using AI agents now faces the same moment: the agent says "done" — and there is no way to tell whether that means verified or confident. Models produce fluent, complete-sounding output regardless of whether the work survived contact with reality. The failure mode is universal: code that was never run, research that was never sourced, automations that fired once in a demo and never again.

This skill exists so that "done" becomes a claim with a level attached, not a vibe you accept on trust. It works with any agent, any model, any stack. The agent produces the work; you assign the evidence level.

The Four Gates (start here)

The public fast loop. Four questions, in order, before trusting any agent result:

GateAskPass looks like
1. SourceShow the artifact, data, or config behind the claim.You can open it and check it yourself.
2. TestRerun it with the same setup and explicit pass/fail conditions.It survives the same test twice, not once.
3. Break itA fresh reviewer challenges the final result.Every objection gets a real answer.
4. RealRun it in the actual workflow, not a demo.Observable result, with its limits named.

Then score it:

  • 4/4 — verified. Trust it. Ship it.
  • 3/4 — close. Fix the gap before you rely on it.
  • 2/4 — risky. Treat it as a draft, not a result.
  • 0–1/4 — vibes. Confidence without evidence. Don't trust it yet.

If it stops before gate 4, it isn't verified yet.

templates/verification-prompts.md contains paste-ready prompt blocks for each gate that work with any agent (ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Cursor, Hermes, custom pipelines), red flags that output is still V0, and domain quick cards for code, research, creative work, automation, and decisions.

The gates are the fast version of the full scale: gate 1 ≈ V1, gate 2 ≈ V2, gate 3 ≈ V3, gate 4 ≈ V4. Use the full workflow below when a false conclusion could compound.

Who Assigns the Level

The operator assigns the V2V level — never the agent whose work is being judged. An agent may report what it ran and attach evidence; the human or an independent reviewer decides what that evidence is worth. Self-assigned "verified" is V0 with extra confidence.

When to Use

Use this skill when a false conclusion could compound:

  • AI-generated code on security, money, identity, permissions, deletion, publication, or external side-effect boundaries
  • Agent architectures, migrations, concurrency, retries, recovery, or durable state
  • Research claims that may influence action
  • Trading or financial automation in simulation or production
  • Expensive or difficult-to-reverse decisions
  • Claims presented as tested, safe, complete, production-ready, or verified
  • Reviews where several plausible approaches could share the same blind spot

Do not use the full workflow for:

  • trivial edits
  • easily reversible formatting
  • ordinary information lookup
  • low-stakes brainstorming
  • tasks with no evidence source capable of distinguishing success from failure

For smaller tasks, use only the claim, acceptance criteria, direct test, and evidence card.

Operating Principles

  1. Do not assume the desired answer exists. BLOCKED, RED, and REJECTED are legitimate outcomes.
  2. Consensus is not proof. Similar agents with shared context can make correlated errors.
  3. Claims must be atomic. If a refuter cannot falsify a claim, rewrite it.
  4. Artifacts outrank prose. Tests, source records, runtime output, hashes, and read-back decide.
  5. Independence must be real. Do not give refuters the original persuasive reasoning.
  6. Scope every verdict. Verification is never universal or permanent.
  7. Bound the search. Default to three rounds: independent attempts, refutation, repair plus final verification.
  8. No artifact, no green light. Self-reported completion remains unverified.

The V2V Scale

LevelNameMinimum evidence
V0VibesA claim or generated result exists; no traceable evidence is attached.
V1GroundedThe claim points to primary sources, exact files, code paths, raw data, or other traceable evidence.
V2TestedThe claim survives a controlled, repeatable test against explicit acceptance criteria.
V3AdversarialIndependent reviewers attempt to refute atomic claims; concrete failures are reproduced, repaired, and re-reviewed.
V4OperationalThe final artifact works through its real environment and natural invocation path, with observable read-back, monitoring, recovery visibility, and repetition when the claim requires it.

Level Rules

  • Higher levels inherit all lower-level requirements.
  • Passing unit tests is V2, not automatically V3 or V4.
  • A review that merely agrees with the builder is not adversarial evidence.
  • A mocked path cannot establish operational proof for a real external boundary.
  • V4 means operationally verified within the named scope, not proved forever.
  • If a required artifact cannot be inspected, cap the level below the requirement it would satisfy.

Verdicts

VerdictMeaning
GREENThe scoped claim currently survives the required evidence and verification gates.
YELLOWThe claim has meaningful support, but named limitations prevent full authority.
REDA concrete counterexample, failed criterion, or unsafe condition exists.
BLOCKEDRequired evidence or access is unavailable, so the claim cannot be decided.
REJECTEDThe objective is malformed, unfalsifiable, unsafe, or not worth the requested verification cost.

Verdict precedence is conservative: REJECTED or RED cannot be overridden by confidence; unresolved required evidence forces BLOCKED or YELLOW, not GREEN.

Workflow

Step 0: Bound the Task

Write:

  • exact objective
  • why the result matters
  • permitted actions and forbidden actions
  • time, tool, and side-effect budget
  • required V2V level
  • public/private disclosure boundary

Do not launch broad fan-out before the task is bounded.

Step 1: Convert the Objective into Atomic Claims

Bad:

The system is safe.

Good:

Two concurrent workers sharing the same durable store cannot both acquire submission authority for the same operation.

Each claim must include:

id: C-01
claim: One precise falsifiable statement.
scope: Where and when the statement is intended to hold.
acceptance: Observable condition that supports the claim.
rejection: Observable counterexample that falsifies it.
evidence_required: Exact artifact or execution needed.

If the claim contains several independently falsifiable statements, split it.

Step 2: Build an Independent Approach Portfolio

Choose incompatible reasoning families appropriate to the task. Examples:

  • builder or constructive approach
  • state-machine or invariant analysis
  • adversarial or abuse-case analysis
  • operator or usability analysis
  • evidence and provenance audit
  • economic or incentive analysis
  • recovery and failure-mode analysis

Preserve independence during the first pass:

  • Do not tell every worker the favored answer.
  • Do not expose one worker's persuasive narrative to another.
  • Vary the framing, not just the wording.
  • Ask for concrete claims, mechanisms, tests, or counterexamples.

If only one agent/context is available, simulate separation with sequential role passes and disclose that this is weaker than independent review.

Step 3: Maintain the Approach Registry

Record each approach in templates/approach-registry.md or an equivalent structured artifact.

Statuses:

  • active
  • promising
  • blocked
  • refuted
  • survived
  • deferred

An elegant reduction that ends at a missing assumption equivalent to the original task is blocked, not nearly complete.

Reopen a blocked route only when new evidence, a new invariant, or a materially different mechanism appears.

Step 4: Collect and Deduplicate Claims

The coordinator must:

  1. merge independently produced claims
  2. separate duplicate wording from genuinely independent mechanisms
  3. retain disagreement
  4. assign stable claim IDs
  5. attach exact evidence locations
  6. remove status reports and vague optimism

Agreement count may raise a claim's prior, but it does not raise its V2V level.

Step 5: Run a Refutation Round

Give refuters:

  • the atomic claim list
  • the final candidate artifact or raw evidence
  • acceptance and rejection criteria
  • permission to return BLOCKED

Do not give them the original agents' chains of reasoning unless a specific argument itself must be audited.

For each claim, require:

claim_id | survives | counter_evidence | reproduction | severity | smallest_repair

A claim survives only when no refuter produces valid counter-evidence within the defined scope. “Looks correct” is not a refutation result.

Track reviewer liveness separately from the candidate verdict:

  • process status: RUNNING, STUCK, TIMED_OUT, or COMPLETE;
  • candidate verdict: GREEN, YELLOW, RED, BLOCKED, or not yet issued.

Give each reviewer a bounded command/time budget and require a durable final verdict. When the budget expires without a verdict, mark the reviewer STUCK or TIMED_OUT and replace it; do not keep reporting vague “pending” status. In user updates, name which status you mean so “the system is active” is never confused with “the reviewer is active.”

Step 6: Reproduce, Repair, and Re-run

For every credible failure:

  1. reproduce it against the real candidate artifact
  2. create a regression test or durable evidence record
  3. repair the smallest sufficient boundary
  4. run focused tests
  5. run the full relevant suite
  6. present the new final artifact to a fresh reviewer

Do not let a reviewer approve bytes or state that were later modified.

Maximum default cycle count: two repair cycles after the initial refutation round. If serious failures remain, return RED or BLOCKED instead of looping indefinitely.

Step 7: Establish Operational Proof

V4 requires the natural path, not a substitute:

  • real scheduler, event, command, or user flow
  • real durable state
  • real external boundary when authorized
  • real read-back or observable outcome
  • repeated execution when repetition is part of the claim
  • monitoring and recovery visibility

A successful POST, click, exit code, or self-report is not enough when public/read-back verification is possible.

Skill-package and slash-command releases

When the subject is an Agent Skill release, do not collapse the Git commit, staged index, working tree, installed copy, manifest, and public media bundle into one “candidate.” Bind and test each boundary explicitly.

  • Direct slash discovery is platform-specific. Hermes derives skill commands from frontmatter; Claude Code may derive them from the skill directory slug. Align both when promising one branded command.
  • skill_view or a resolver scan proves discoverability, not a natural slash invocation. Retain the literal command, gateway read-back, installed skill hash, platform, and exact commit.
  • Build manifests from staged blobs only after deciding what is public versus private.
  • Keep production sources, QC files, voice references, keyframes, and generated intermediates private unless deliberately sanitized and approved.
  • Promote public media with hash, decode, stream, privacy, transcript/frame, provenance, accessibility, contract-test, and manifest evidence.
  • After repairing an adversarial finding, freeze the candidate and send the new exact commit to fresh reviewers; prior approval is stale.

See references/hermes-natural-path-verification.md for the focused Hermes runtime boundary and references/skill-release-and-slash-command-verification.md for the cross-platform command matrix, exact-candidate sequence, and media-promotion checklist.

For repositories that cannot be cleanly reconstructed by git archive or whose tests hard-code the live repository root, use references/exact-candidate-nonrelocatable-repos.md. It covers gitlinks, path-encoding mismatches, detached-clone testing, Python path contamination, layered exact-byte proof, stale safety-gate fixtures, and the rule that reviewer timeout is not V3 evidence.

When authority depends on evidence being first-party, official, fresh, or captured through a particular path, use references/provenance-boundary-hardening.md. It covers parser-versus-capture trust, fixed production sources, evidence-bearing internal APIs, adversarial provenance matrices, and hash-binding mutable external runtimes.

Step 8: Issue the Evidence Card

Use templates/evidence-card.yaml and validate it against schemas/evidence-card.schema.json when tooling permits.

Schema validation enforces structural prerequisites only. It cannot prove artifact authenticity, test relevance, or reviewer independence; inspect those claims directly before promotion.

Every promotion record must support the card's claim_id and bind subject_artifact to scope.artifact. V2 test records declare procedure, expected result, observed result, and repetition count. V3 review records declare reviewer, independence mode, attempted challenge, and result. The validator can enforce those declarations but cannot authenticate the reviewer identity. GREEN / V3+ additionally requires an empty open_blockers list and a survived disposition for the main claim.

The final report must contain:

  • claim
  • verdict
  • V2V level
  • scope
  • acceptance criteria
  • surviving evidence
  • claim dispositions and counter-evidence
  • operational proof, if any
  • limitations
  • disclosure boundary
  • smallest next action

Evidence Promotion Rules

PromotionRequired proof
V0 → V1Traceable primary source, artifact, file, or raw evidence attached
V1 → V2Controlled test with explicit expected and observed result
V2 → V3Independent refutation of atomic claims against the final artifact
V3 → V4Natural real-environment execution plus observable read-back and scoped repetition

Never promote because:

  • the answer is detailed
  • several agents agree
  • a builder says tests passed
  • a mocked demo looks realistic
  • a file path was claimed but not checked
  • the external action returned an ID without read-back

Output Contract

Return this compact summary first:

VERDICT: GREEN | YELLOW | RED | BLOCKED | REJECTED
V2V: V0 | V1 | V2 | V3 | V4
CLAIM: <atomic scoped claim>
SCOPE: <where the verdict holds>
EVIDENCE: <exact artifacts and results>
LIMITATIONS: <named gaps>
NEXT: <smallest useful action>

Then provide the full evidence card and claim dispositions.

Schema-valid evidence card gate

Schema validity is a hard output gate, not an optional formatting preference. Before returning the full card:

  1. Start from templates/evidence-card.yaml; preserve every required top-level field.
  2. Do not add top-level keys outside the schema. Put supporting detail inside the schema-defined fields.
  3. claim_id must match C-[0-9]{2,} and every evidence record's supports list must reference that same ID.
  4. Bind every evidence record's subject_artifact exactly to scope.artifact.
  5. For V2+, include at least one kind: test record with procedure, expected, observed, and repetitions.
  6. Use only {claim_id, status, evidence} in each claim disposition.
  7. Include disclosure_boundary even for private or local-only work.
  8. Write the YAML card to a temporary or requested output path and run:
python scripts/validate.py <card-path>

If validation reports any error, repair the card and rerun validation before returning it. If the validator cannot run, state that limitation explicitly and do not claim that schema validity was verified. Never return a known schema-invalid card as the final evidence card.

Do not use “proved,” “safe,” “complete,” or “production-ready” without a named scope and evidence level.

Lightweight Mode

For a bounded low-to-medium-risk task:

  1. Write one atomic claim.
  2. Define acceptance and rejection criteria.
  3. Inspect the primary artifact.
  4. Run one direct test.
  5. Issue a verdict and V2V level.

Do not manufacture a multi-agent ceremony when a direct test decides the question.

Common Pitfalls

  1. Agent count theater. More workers with the same framing produce correlated confidence.
  2. Builder-as-verifier. The author reviews their own persuasive reasoning instead of the final artifact.
  3. Non-atomic claims. “The auth layer has problems” cannot be decisively refuted.
  4. Equivalent missing lemma. A hard problem is renamed and declared nearly solved.
  5. Test-path substitution. A manual or mocked path is presented as natural operation.
  6. Stale review. The reviewed artifact changes after approval.
  7. Consensus promotion. Agreement raises confidence but not evidence maturity.
  8. Infinite search. The workflow refuses legitimate BLOCKED or RED outcomes.
  9. Disclosure leakage. Verification receipts expose secrets, private paths, strategies, account data, or exploitable implementation details.
  10. Green without scope. The verdict silently expands beyond what was tested.
  11. Dispatcher substitution. Prompt text beginning with /skill-name is treated as proof that the platform resolved and loaded the skill. Require a skills-enabled session, the intended interface dispatcher, skill-load read-back, and a separately validated output artifact.
  12. CLI-only provenance hardening. The natural command rejects overrides, but an imported function still accepts a bare authority conclusion such as eligible or approved. Refute the callable API, not only the wrapper.
  13. Mutable-runtime substitution. A committed test silently imports live code outside the candidate and is reported as exact-commit proof. Prefer committed mirrors or bind every external runtime artifact by hash and disclose the composite candidate.
  14. Self-attesting provenance. Source role, capture method, and hash are accepted from one caller-controlled payload without recomputing against raw bytes or an independently bound capture receipt.
  15. Partial reconciliation. The headline total matches, but another authority-bearing field such as verified followers or platform status can diverge from the bound source.
  16. Relative-only freshness. Two stale artifacts agree with each other and are therefore treated as fresh. Compare against a trusted wall-clock as_of.
  17. Reviewer limbo. An over-budget reviewer is called “pending” indefinitely. Separate reviewer liveness from candidate verdict and replace stuck lanes.
  18. Self-assigned level. The agent whose work is being judged declares itself verified. The operator assigns the level; self-reported “verified” without external evidence is V0.

Privacy and Publication

Before publishing a case study:

  • disclose the problem class and verification process
  • remove secrets, credentials, account data, private identifiers, paths, schedules, proprietary thresholds, and reproducible attack details
  • preserve exact receipts only when they do not expose protected implementation
  • label simulated, paper, mocked, or sandbox execution honestly
  • state what was not independently verified

Use disclosure_boundary in every public evidence card.

Immutable Editorial and Source Reviews

For documentation-heavy release candidates, review the exact commit rather than the mutable working tree. Independently challenge source quotations, naming and command-resolution rules, runtime scope, media rights and license compatibility, intentional placeholders, gate ordering, and stale approval language. A disposition saying an issue was repaired is not evidence that the final bytes contain the repair.

Treat categorical media claims such as “rights-cleared” as provenance claims: require a traceable receipt or qualify them as privately reported, and verify that embedded third-party media is actually redistributable under—or explicitly carved out from—the repository license. Return exact path:line counter-evidence and the smallest sufficient repair.

See references/editorial-source-release-review.md for the full immutable-release checklist, source retrieval fallbacks, and verdict rules.

Verification Checklist

  • Objective and authority are bounded
  • Claims are atomic and falsifiable
  • Acceptance and rejection criteria are explicit
  • Independent approaches use materially different frames
  • Approach registry records blocked and refuted routes
  • Refuters receive the final artifact, not only summaries
  • Every failure is reproduced or marked unverified
  • Repairs have regression evidence
  • Full relevant tests run against final bytes
  • Natural execution is used before claiming V4
  • Slash-command claims use a skills-enabled session and the intended interface dispatcher
  • Generated schema-backed outputs pass the actual validator as raw artifacts
  • External outcomes are read back when possible
  • Verdict and V2V level remain separate
  • Scope and limitations are visible
  • Public output passes the disclosure boundary
  • Exact artifacts exist and are non-empty

Closing Rule

Vibe coding is not the problem. Stopping at vibes is.

Build fast. Challenge the result. Keep only what survives.

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