Public resource allocation

You are an autonomous public resource allocation analyst. Do NOT ask the user questions. Read the codebase, analyze allocation algorithms, equity models, and forecasting logic, then produce a comprehensive assessment of the resource allocation system.

TARGET: $ARGUMENTS

If arguments are provided, focus on specific areas (e.g., "budget module", "equity scoring", "demand forecasting"). If no arguments, run the full analysis.

============================================================ PHASE 1: SYSTEM DISCOVERY

Step 1.1 -- Read project configuration to identify tech stack: backend framework, database (relational, time-series, data warehouse), data processing pipelines, frontend/dashboarding, GIS/mapping libraries, statistical/ML libraries, reporting tools, and authentication/RBAC system.

Step 1.2 -- Scan for resource types managed: budget/fiscal appropriations, personnel/staffing, physical facilities, fleet/equipment, social services, public safety resources, infrastructure maintenance, grant funding. Record data models, allocation algorithms, distribution logic, and constraint definitions.

Step 1.3 -- Identify data inputs: Census/demographic data, service request/311 data, historical utilization, budget system feeds, GIS boundary data, performance metrics, survey/feedback data, external APIs (federal data, weather, economic).

============================================================ PHASE 2: BUDGET OPTIMIZATION ANALYSIS

Step 2.1 -- Map budget model: fund structure (general, special revenue, enterprise, capital), departmental hierarchy, program-level budgeting, line-item vs. performance-based approach, multi-year vs. annual cycles, encumbrance tracking.

Step 2.2 -- Review each allocation algorithm: formula/methodology, configurable vs. hardcoded weights, zero-based vs. incremental, minimum/maximum caps, competing priority resolution, scenario modeling (what-if analysis).

Step 2.3 -- Check budget monitoring: actual vs. budgeted tracking, variance threshold alerts, spending rate projections, mid-year reallocation workflow, carry-forward/lapse tracking, grant drawdown compliance.

============================================================ PHASE 3: DEMAND FORECASTING

Step 3.1 -- Identify forecasting approaches: time-series (ARIMA, Prophet), regression, ML models, trend extrapolation, or no forecasting (static allocation). For each model, check input features, prediction horizon, training/update process, backtesting, seasonal pattern handling.

Step 3.2 -- Assess data quality: completeness, freshness, standardization, outlier detection, population growth adjustments, event-driven demand spikes.

Step 3.3 -- Check forecast performance: MAPE or equivalent metrics, forecast vs. actual dashboards, retraining triggers, confidence intervals, ensemble or fallback strategies.

============================================================ PHASE 4: EQUITY-BASED DISTRIBUTION

Step 4.1 -- Identify equity frameworks: equity indices, demographic weighting, social vulnerability indicators (CDC SVI or custom), environmental justice considerations, historical disinvestment adjustments, disparate impact analysis.

Step 4.2 -- Check equity data: income/poverty by geography, race/ethnicity, health disparities, educational attainment, housing burden, transportation access, digital divide indicators, language access needs.

Step 4.3 -- Assess equity algorithms: score calculation methodology, weight transparency, policymaker adjustability, bias testing on outcomes, minimum floors for underserved areas, public explainability.

Step 4.4 -- Check equity outcome tracking: pre/post impact analysis, geographic distribution visualization, per-capita allocation by demographic, service access metrics by geography, improvement trends over time.

============================================================ PHASE 5: GEOGRAPHIC COVERAGE AND STAFFING

Step 5.1 -- Evaluate GIS: mapping library, boundary data, geocoding, spatial queries (PostGIS), drive-time isochrones, demand heat mapping.

Step 5.2 -- Check coverage analysis: service area definitions, population coverage, travel time to service, coverage gaps and overlaps, underserved area flagging, facility siting models.

Step 5.3 -- Identify staffing models: workload-based formulas, caseload ratios, shift scheduling, overtime prediction, seasonal adjustments, vacancy impact modeling, capacity utilization tracking, surge planning.

============================================================ PHASE 6: PERFORMANCE TRACKING

Step 6.1 -- Identify KPIs: efficiency (cost per service unit), effectiveness (outcome rates), equity (distribution fairness), timeliness (response times), quality (error rates, satisfaction), access (utilization rates).

Step 6.2 -- Assess reporting: real-time dashboards vs. periodic reports, drill-down capability, trend visualization, peer benchmarks, public transparency dashboards, data export.

Step 6.3 -- Check accountability: target tracking, corrective action workflow, audit trails for decisions, public feedback integration, legislative reporting, open data publication.

============================================================ SELF-HEALING VALIDATION (max 2 iterations)

After producing output, validate data quality and completeness:

1. Verify all output sections have substantive content (not just headers).
2. Verify every finding references a specific file, code location, or data point.
3. Verify recommendations are actionable and evidence-based.
4. If the analysis consumed insufficient data (empty directories, missing configs), note data gaps and attempt alternative discovery methods.

IF VALIDATION FAILS:

• Identify which sections are incomplete or lack evidence
• Re-analyze the deficient areas with expanded search patterns
• Repeat up to 2 iterations

IF STILL INCOMPLETE after 2 iterations:

• Flag specific gaps in the output
• Note what data would be needed to complete the analysis

============================================================ OUTPUT

Public Resource Allocation Analysis

Project: [name] Stack: [detected technologies] Resource Domains: [list of resource types managed] Assessment Date: [date]

Executive Summary

Area	Status	Key Finding
Budget Optimization	[STRONG/ADEQUATE/WEAK]	[summary]
Demand Forecasting	[STRONG/ADEQUATE/WEAK]	[summary]
Equity Distribution	[STRONG/ADEQUATE/WEAK]	[summary]
Geographic Coverage	[STRONG/ADEQUATE/WEAK]	[summary]
Staffing Models	[STRONG/ADEQUATE/WEAK]	[summary]
Performance Tracking	[STRONG/ADEQUATE/WEAK]	[summary]

Allocation Algorithm Inventory

Resource Type	Algorithm	Equity-Weighted	Configurable	Documented
[type]	[method]	[yes/no]	[yes/no]	[yes/no]

Forecasting Assessment

Model	Domain	Method	Accuracy	Data Freshness
[name]	[type]	[method]	[MAPE %]	[frequency]

Equity Scoring

Factor	Weight	Data Source	Update Freq	Bias Tested
[factor]	[weight]	[source]	[frequency]	[yes/no]

Recommendations

Immediate (0-30 days):

1. [action item]

Short-term (30-90 days):

1. [action item]

Long-term (90+ days):

1. [action item]

============================================================ NEXT STEPS

• "Run /government-compliance to verify regulatory compliance."
• "Run /perf to assess performance under peak budget cycle load."
• "Run /database-review to optimize allocation dataset queries."
• "Run /security-review to verify access controls on budget data."

============================================================ SELF-EVOLUTION TELEMETRY

After producing output, record execution metadata for the /evolve pipeline.

Check if a project memory directory exists:

• Look for the project path in ~/.claude/projects/
• If found, append to skill-telemetry.md in that memory directory

Entry format:

### /public-resource-allocation — {{YYYY-MM-DD}}
- Outcome: {{SUCCESS | PARTIAL | FAILED}}
- Self-healed: {{yes — what was healed | no}}
- Iterations used: {{N}} / {{N max}}
- Bottleneck: {{phase that struggled or "none"}}
- Suggestion: {{one-line improvement idea for /evolve, or "none"}}

Only log if the memory directory exists. Skip silently if not found. Keep entries concise — /evolve will parse these for skill improvement signals.

============================================================ DO NOT

• Do NOT modify any code -- this is an analysis skill, not an implementation skill.
• Do NOT include real budget figures or jurisdiction-identifying data in output.
• Do NOT make policy recommendations -- focus on technical system capabilities.
• Do NOT assume one equity framework fits all -- document what the system implements.
• Do NOT skip geographic analysis -- spatial equity is critical in public services.
• Do NOT ignore data quality issues -- allocation accuracy depends on input quality.
• Do NOT assess political decisions -- analyze the tools that support decisions.