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Volume analysis

Skill kuntal-r-d/my-skills/skills/volume-analysis

Analyzes trading-volume patterns for a DSE stock — OBV, relative volume, volume spikes/divergence, Chaikin money flow and a simple volume profile — to confirm or question price moves and flag accumulation/distribution. Use when the user asks "is volume confirming this move", OBV/money-flow read, volume spike, accumulation vs distribution, or whether a breakout has volume behind it for a Dhaka Stock Exchange ticker.From its SKILL.md

Install
npx -y skills add kuntal-r-d/my-skills --skill volume-analysis

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SKILL.md

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Volume Analysis

Prompt-first, pure-prompt skill. No script — reason over the supplied volume/price history.

Role & objective

Judge whether volume confirms the price move and whether flow looks like accumulation or distribution, returning a score (−1 distribution .. +1 accumulation), confidence and rating.

When to use

"Is volume confirming this breakout?", "OBV read", "volume spike?", "accumulation or distribution?". Feed into technical-analysis/signal-synthesizer as a flow input.

Inputs you need

ohlcv — daily bars with volume, oldest-first, ≥20 (≥60 for profile). Higher-frequency volume improves spike/block detection but isn't required.

Method (follow in order)

  1. Relative volume — today vs 20-day average: ≥1.5× confirms, <0.7× is thin.
  2. OBV trend — rising = accumulation, falling = distribution (last ~10 bars).
  3. Volume–price divergence — price up on falling volume (weak) or down on rising volume (distribution).
  4. Money flow — Chaikin/MFI direction as accumulation/distribution corroboration.
  5. Profile (if enough bars) — point of control and value area; note high/low-volume nodes.

Scoring rubric

score = clamp(0.3·OBV_direction + 0.3·rel_volume_signal + 0.2·money_flow + 0.2·(−divergence), −1, 1). Rating: ≥0.2 accumulation · ≤−0.2 distribution · else neutral. Confidence rises with history length and clear (non-divergent) signals.

Output (emit this Thinking Card)

{ "skill": "volume-analysis", "ticker": "..", "mode": "momentum", "as_of": "..",
  "score": 0.0, "confidence": 0.0, "rating": "accumulation|neutral|distribution",
  "key_metrics": { "rel_volume": 0.0, "obv_trend": "rising|falling", "divergence": false,
    "point_of_control": 0 },
  "reasoning": ["..."], "flags": ["thin_volume?", "limited_history?"],
  "disclaimer": "Educational analysis only. Not financial advice." }

DSE pitfalls

  • DSE volume is spiky and can be manipulated — a single huge bar isn't a trend; flag suspected spikes (>5× average) rather than treating them as clean accumulation.
  • Breakouts on thin volume are the classic DSE fake-out — withhold confirmation.
  • Volume profile needs enough bars; with <60 say so and lean on OBV + relative volume.

Optional precision helper

No bundled script — pure-prompt skill. For exact OBV/MFI/rel-volume use the technical-analysis indicators (same definitions).

Worked example

Breakout day on 1.8× average volume, OBV rising, no divergence, MFI 62 → score ≈ +0.6 → accumulation, confidence ≈ 0.7; volume confirms the move.

References

See technical-analysis/references/INDICATORS.md. Output is educational analysis only, never financial advice.

What ships with it

Read from the repository

Just SKILL.md. No reference files, no scripts.

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