Vox populi

Vox Populi Skill

Vox Populi creates a popular vote view of Polymarket events.

It optionally filters out whales by current position size and shows unique qualifying voters with a Yes % / No % split for each active outcome.

When to Use

• You want to see what the broader crowd thinks, not just large positions
• You want a people-weighted companion to Polymarket's money-weighted pricing
• You want to compare retail sentiment across multi-outcome prediction markets
• You want structured JSON that an agent can summarize, rank, or render as a table

Human-in-the-Loop

You must not invent missing inputs when there are meaningful trade-offs.

If the user has not provided a Polymarket event or URL, ask for it. If the user has not specified a wallet-size band, run with no min/max bounds (unbounded) unless they ask for a range.

If an ask/follow-up tool exists in the current environment, prefer that tool over free-form questions.

This skill should remain compatible with GitHub Copilot, Codex, Cursor, Claude Code, Cline, Roo, and similar SKILL.md-aware agents.

How to Use

Run the bundled Python script non-interactively.

The Python entrypoint is scripts/vox_populi.py located next to this SKILL.md file. Do not assume the current working directory is the installed skill directory.

When invoking the script:

1. Prefer a path resolved from the directory containing this SKILL.md.
2. If your agent runs commands from the project root, use the installed skill path for that agent.
3. For agents using the shared project convention, that path is typically .agents/skills/vox-populi/scripts/vox_populi.py.

Examples:

python "<skill-dir>/scripts/vox_populi.py" argentina-presidential-election-winner --min-usd 10 --max-usd 100

python "<skill-dir>/scripts/vox_populi.py" argentina-presidential-election-winner --min-usd 5

python "<skill-dir>/scripts/vox_populi.py" argentina-presidential-election-winner --max-usd 500

python "<skill-dir>/scripts/vox_populi.py" argentina-presidential-election-winner

python "<skill-dir>/scripts/vox_populi.py" https://polymarket.com/event/argentina-presidential-election-winner --print-table

Required input:

• an event slug or full Polymarket event URL
• optionally --min-usd for a lower bound
• optionally --max-usd for an upper bound

Optional input:

• --output to choose the directory where the JSON file is written
• --print-table to also emit the CLI table to stderr

Important runtime behavior:

• the script writes progress, warnings, and errors to stderr
• the script prints the generated JSON file path to stdout
• the JSON file is the source of truth for downstream analysis or custom rendering
• for natural-language prompts like 5-200, 5+, or <500, the agent should parse the request and map it to --min-usd / --max-usd values, omitting either arg when that side is unbounded

Returned JSON data

The script prints the path to a JSON file with this top-level shape:

{
  "title": "Argentina Presidential Election Winner",
  "slug": "argentina-presidential-election-winner",
  "min_usd": null,
  "max_usd": null,
  "total_voters": 84,
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "name": "Javier Milei",
      "voters": 56,
      "yes_voters": 46,
      "no_voters": 11,
      "yes_price": 47.5,
      "no_price": 52.5,
      "popular_pct": 54.8,
      "yes_pct": 82.1,
      "unpopular_pct": 13.1,
      "no_pct": 19.6
    }
  ],
  "timestamp": "2026-05-30T01:46:44.087429"
}

Field meanings:

• title: display title from Polymarket
• slug: normalized event slug used for the request
• min_usd / max_usd: inclusive position-value filter used for qualifying voters (null when unbounded on that side)
• total_voters: count of unique qualifying wallets across all active outcomes
• outcomes: active outcomes with popular_pct >= 1.0 and yes_price > 0, sorted by popular_pct descending
• timestamp: ISO-8601 snapshot time

Each outcomes[] item contains:

• name: outcome or candidate name
• voters: unique qualifying wallets in either Yes or No for that outcome
• yes_voters / no_voters: unique qualifying wallets per side
• yes_price / no_price: current market prices in percent
• popular_pct: share of total qualifying voters whose single highest-value Yes position (by current USD value, after filters) is on that outcome
• unpopular_pct: share of total qualifying voters whose single highest-value No position is on that outcome
• yes_pct / no_pct: split within that outcome's voter set (based on top positions)

A wallet contributes at most one Yes vote (awarded only to the outcome of its highest-value Yes position, if that value passes the min/max filter) and at most one No vote (to the outcome of its highest-value No position). As a result, popular_pct values across all outcomes sum to at most 100%, and unpopular_pct values likewise sum to at most 100%. A wallet may still contribute a Yes vote to one outcome and a No vote to a different outcome.

Table rendering for the agent

If you present the results as a table, render it from the JSON using the same layout as render_cli_table.

Columns:

• RANK
• OUTCOME
• MKT YES
• POP
• VOTES
• YES
• UNPOP
• VOTES
• NO

Footnote

When responding to the user, the path to the JSON file should be mentioned last as a dim footnote after any human-readable table or summary, so that agents can choose to read the file directly for structured data or parse the summary for a quick follow-up answer.