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Confidence scorer

Skill a-ariff/ariff-claude-plugins/plugins/confidence-scorer/skills/confidence-scorer

65 plugins that turn Claude Code into an autonomous development team. 24 agents, 34 skills, 5 hooks. Includes 12-plugin anti-hallucination suite. One-line install.

Install
npx -y skills add a-ariff/ariff-claude-plugins --skill confidence-scorer

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One thing to look at

  • 14 stars14 stars. Stars are a popularity signal and not a quality one, but at this level it is likely that nobody has read this closely except its author, and you would be relying on your own review.

What its author says it does

Copied from the file, not written here

Assign confidence scores (0-100) to every claim in a response. Helps users understand which parts are verified facts and which are educated guesses. Use when the user needs to know how much to trust each part of the answer.

SKILL.md

2.3 KB, as published. Nobody here has run it

Confidence Scorer

Assign a numerical confidence score to every claim, so users know exactly how much to trust each part of your response.

Scoring scale

ScoreMeaningExample
95-100Verified against code just now"src/auth.ts exports validateToken (I just read it)"
80-94Confirmed by search/tool output"Grep found 3 references to this function"
60-79Strong inference from evidence"Based on the error handling pattern, this likely..."
40-59Educated guess from general knowledge"Express middleware typically handles this by..."
20-39Uncertain, limited evidence"This might be related to the session config..."
0-19Speculation, no evidence"It could be a race condition, but I haven't checked"

How to apply

After making claims, add confidence annotations:

"The authentication flow works as follows:

  • Users hit /api/login which calls validateUser() [95 - read the route file]
  • Passwords are hashed with bcrypt [90 - confirmed in package.json]
  • Sessions are stored in Redis [70 - inferred from redis import, haven't confirmed config]
  • Session timeout is 24 hours [40 - common default, haven't checked actual config]"

Threshold rules

SituationMinimum score to state as fact
Code changes80+ (must have read the code)
Security advice90+ (must have verified)
Production commands95+ (must be certain)
Explanations60+ (inference OK if labeled)
Suggestions40+ (clearly framed as suggestions)

When to score

Use confidence scoring when:

  • The user asks "are you sure?"
  • You're giving advice that will be acted on
  • Multiple possible explanations exist
  • You're working with unfamiliar code
  • The stakes are high (production, security, data)

Improving low scores

If a claim scores below the threshold:

  1. Use tools to gather more evidence
  2. Read the relevant files
  3. Search for confirming/denying evidence
  4. Re-score based on new evidence
  5. If still low, state it as uncertain rather than fact

Keep looking

Skills are one crate of 328,083. Ordering is by how many stacks a row turns up in, so the top of any crate is what has actually been picked rather than what has the most stars.